Crop Yield Distributions: A Reconciliation of Previous Research and Statistical Tests for Normality

Abstract

This study revisits the large but inconclusive body of research on crop yield distributions. Using competing techniques across 3,852 crop andĀ  county combinations some inconsistencies in previous studiesĀ  can be reconciled. We examine linear, polynomial, and ARIMA trend models. Normality tests are undertaken, with an implementable R-test and multivariate testing to account for spatial correlation. Empirical results show limited support for stochastic trends in yields. Results also show that normality rejection rates depend on the trend specification. Corn Belt corn and soybeans yields are negatively skewed while they tend to become more normal as one moves away from the Corn Belt.

Published 
Author(s)
Focus topic
Agricultural Value Chains / Agri-Businesses
Focus region
Global
Annotation-2024-12-23-120444
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